Everything / Web and mobile apps / React Native
React Native Faded
On TutorHero's Everything Index, React Native is faded on GitHub: 1.34 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (1.3k a month), +25% vs a year ago and 0.61x its level when ChatGPT launched. The 12-month forecast says edging up (+7%). By the end of 2032, lines in the same state ended between 0.28x and 4.8x of where they started (median 0.82x).
Since 2019, and the range to 2032
New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar lines
The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (grew its share 15% to 100% in a year) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.
Week by week
Wikipedia views a day, last 8 weeks
New public repos with the react-native tag each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers.
Built vs talked about
Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.
What it means
- Learn the ideas more than the name: React Native is faded, -71% below its Aug 2020 high.
- Start by reading hasaneyldrm/exercises-dataset (+1.4k stars in 3 months) and maotoumao/MusicFree (+851 stars in 3 months).
- People to follow: react, Nick Raienko, Laurent Cozic.
- Builders and attention both rising: new repos +25%, attention +33% in a year.
- 2.40 new stars per new repo over 3 months, vs 8.50 for the typical trend: more supply than demand right now.
- The 12-month forecast for its share: +7% (Edging up).
- Talked about more than built: Hacker News -19% vs new repos +25% in a year, more talk per builder than the typical trend, so demand for builders may run ahead of supply.
- History: of past GitHub lines that grew its share 15% to 100% in a year, 49% had a smaller share 3 to 5 years later and 13% at least doubled.
- Attention: 0.79% of new stars on the repos we track, +33% in a year.
- Hacker News: 6 stories a month, -19% share in a year; Wikipedia 5.3k views a month, -30%.
- Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
- Most-starred tools here lately: hasaneyldrm/exercises-dataset, maotoumao/MusicFree (organic stars).
- Check that a tool is still maintained before you adopt it: the field is shrinking.
Repos carrying it now
People building it
reactreactInfluence 98
Nick RaienkoHuman Intelligence EngineerInfluence 73
Laurent Coziclaurent22Influence 74
dkhamsingdkhamsingInfluence 71
Sudheer JonnaAuthor, Speaker, Trainer, Full-stack expert & AI engineering
Influence 59
React Hook Form📋 React Hooks for forms validation (Web + React Native)Influence 64
Wix.comOpen-sourcing useful pieces of codeInfluence 46
MattermostMattermost is a secure collaboration platform for connecting your teams, tools and processes to accelerate mission-critical work.Influence 48More in Web and mobile apps
Questions
Is React Native growing on GitHub?
Yes. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is +25% vs a year ago and -1% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Faded.
How many new React Native repos are created each month?
About 1.3k new public repos a month carry the react-native tag (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 1.34 of every 10,000 new repos.
What will React Native look like in 2032?
Nobody knows, and we say how much. Of past GitHub lines that grew its share 15% to 100% in a year, the middle half had between 0.53x and 1.41x of their share 3 to 5 years later, and 49% ended smaller.
Is React Native more talked about than built?
Talked about more than built. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved -19% while its share of new GitHub repos moved +25%. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: 2.3 times the talk per builder of the median trend.
Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.