Everything / Data and databases / COVID-19
COVID-19 Faded
On TutorHero's Everything Index, COVID-19 is faded on GitHub: 0.04 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (39 a month), -12% vs a year ago.
Since 2019, and the range to 2032
New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar lines
The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (n/a) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.
Week by week
Wikipedia views a day, last 8 weeks
New public repos with the covid-19 tag each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers. Fewer than 40 new repos in 4 weeks: read the change with care.
Built vs talked about
Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.
What it means
- Learn the ideas more than the name: COVID-19 is faded, -99% below its May 2020 high.
- Start by reading cirosantilli/china-dictatorship (+159 stars in 3 months) and fahadshamshad/awesome-transformers-in-medical-imaging (+6 stars in 3 months).
- People to follow: George Hotz, Rodrigo Pombo, deepset.
- Both falling: new repos -12%, attention -64% in a year.
- Talked about more than built: Hacker News -56% vs new repos -12% in a year, more talk per builder than the typical trend, so demand for builders may run ahead of supply.
- Attention: 0.01% of new stars on the repos we track, -64% in a year.
- Hacker News: 12 stories a month, -56% share in a year; Wikipedia 90.7k views a month, -23%.
- Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
- Most-starred tools here lately: cirosantilli/china-dictatorship, fahadshamshad/awesome-transformers-in-medical-imaging.
- Check that a tool is still maintained before you adopt it: the field is shrinking.
Repos carrying it now
People building it
George HotzWe will commoditize the petaflop.Influence 88
Rodrigo PomboOverengineer. Tools for better code reading comprehension. Building @code-hike.Influence 67
deepsetBuilding open-source NLP frameworks for enterprise search and LLM applications.Influence 36
Ariya HidayatOpen-sourceInfluence 74
Alex WaygoodMaintains Python tooling and contributes to CPython core.Influence 44More in Data and databases
Questions
Is COVID-19 growing on GitHub?
No, it is shrinking. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is -12% vs a year ago and +2% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Faded.
How many new COVID-19 repos are created each month?
About 39 new public repos a month carry the covid-19 tag (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 0.04 of every 10,000 new repos.
What will COVID-19 look like in 2032?
Not enough history for a range yet.
Is COVID-19 more talked about than built?
Talked about more than built. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved -56% while its share of new GitHub repos moved -12%. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: 1.8 times the talk per builder of the median trend.
Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.