Everything / Data and databases / DuckDB
DuckDB Growing
On TutorHero's Everything Index, DuckDB is growing on GitHub: 0.79 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (763 a month), 7x vs a year ago. The 12-month forecast says rising (+86%). By the end of 2032, lines in the same state ended between 0.01x and 2.5x of where they started (median 0.54x).
Since 2019, and the range to 2032
New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar linesJev's 2032 call
The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (more than doubled its share of new repos in a year) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.
Week by week
Wikipedia views a day, last 8 weeks
New public repos with the duckdb tag each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers.
Built vs talked about
Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.
What it means
- Worth learning now: DuckDB is growing, 7x share of new GitHub repos vs a year ago.
- Start by reading shy3130/tick-stock-panel (+1.3k stars in 3 months) and opengeos/GeoLibre (+954 stars in 3 months).
- People to follow: DuckDB Foundation, xiaofei, rootSunc.
- Jev for someone who wants to contribute or get hired: Commit this year (3.0 of 4).
- Builders and attention both rising: new repos 7x, attention +8% in a year.
- 2.80 new stars per new repo over 3 months, vs 8.50 for the typical trend: more supply than demand right now.
- The 12-month forecast for its share: +86% (Rising).
- Talk and building in step: Hacker News +50% vs new repos 7x in a year, close to the typical trend.
- Jev for a builder: Commit this year (2.8 of 4).
- History: of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, 61% had a smaller share 3 to 5 years later and 8% at least doubled.
- Jev's 2032 call: better than most similar lines (unsure), which on the base rates means about 0.78x today's share by the end of 2032.
- Attention: 0.44% of new stars on the repos we track, +8% in a year.
- Hacker News: 21 stories a month, +50% share in a year; Wikipedia 8.1k views a month, +52%.
- Jev for an investor: Commit this year (2.9 of 4).
- Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
- Most-starred tools here lately: shy3130/tick-stock-panel (organic stars), opengeos/GeoLibre (organic stars).
- The field is growing, so expect new tools and fast changes; pin versions.
- Jev for a developer picking tools: Commit this year (3.0 of 4).
Repos carrying it now
People building it
DuckDB FoundationAnalytical in-process SQL database with data lake and Postgres integration.Influence 47
xiaofeixiaofeiInfluence 34
rootSuncEveryday is a new day :)Influence 32
Drizzle TeamOpen-source ORM and SQL toolsInfluence 52
FidetoLabsBuilding data products and ai agents for systematic tradersInfluence 17
Hebbian Robotics (YC S26)Developing robots that extend what humanity can do, for the benefit of the communities they serve.Influence 2
electkismetelectkismetInfluence 18
Tom OwersGilbert09Influence 36More in Data and databases
Questions
Is DuckDB growing on GitHub?
Yes. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is 7x vs a year ago and +46% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Growing.
How many new DuckDB repos are created each month?
About 763 new public repos a month carry the duckdb tag (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 0.79 of every 10,000 new repos.
What will DuckDB look like in 2032?
Nobody knows, and we say how much. Of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, the middle half had between 0.14x and 1.27x of their share 3 to 5 years later, and 61% ended smaller. Jev's call: Better than most similar lines.
Is DuckDB more talked about than built?
Talk and building in step. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved +50% while its share of new GitHub repos moved 7x. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: about 1/1.3 of the talk per builder of the median trend.
Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.