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Everything / Coding agents / Claude Code

Trend in Coding agents · tag claude-code · through Sep 2026

Claude Code Emerging

On TutorHero's Everything Index, Claude Code is emerging on GitHub: 13.0 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (12.4k a month), 18x vs a year ago. The 12-month forecast says rising (+113%). By the end of 2032, lines in the same state ended between 0.01x and 2.5x of where they started (median 0.54x).

Per 10k new repos13.012.4k new repos a month
Year over year18x3 months: +12%
Next 12 months+113%80% band +80% to 7x
2032, median of history0.54x90% of past cases: 0.01x to 2.5x
Attention31.3%of new stars, 6x in a year
Jev 2032 call0.78xBetter than most similar lines
Share on X

Since 2019, and the range to 2032

0.10.313103010020192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032Range to 2032 (history of similar lines)Stable Diffusion releasedChatGPT launchesGPT-4Llama 2, open weightsModel Context ProtocolDeepSeek-R1Claude Code previewHigh 32.2Jev 10.2Median 6.98Low 0.14

New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar linesJev's 2032 call

The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (more than doubled its share of new repos in a year) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.

Week by week

Last week8.2k new reposOct 12 to Oct 18 · +24% against the field
Last 4 weeks▲ +36%21.2k new repos, against the 4 weeks before and the field
AprMayJunJulAugSepOct

New public repos with the claude-code tag each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers.

Built vs talked about

Hacker News178 stories a month+6% share of HN vs a year ago · titles with "claude code"
Talk vs buildingBuilt more than talked aboutHacker News +6% vs GitHub new repos 18x over the year, compared with the typical trend

Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.

What it means

Studentslearning it, contributing, getting hiredCommit this year
  • Worth learning now: Claude Code is emerging, 18x share of new GitHub repos vs a year ago.
  • Start by reading tt-a1i/archify (+34.7k stars in 3 months) and DietrichGebert/ponytail (+31.0k stars in 3 months).
  • People to follow: Affaan Mustafa, DietrichGebert, Jason Young.
  • Jev for someone who wants to contribute or get hired: Commit this year (2.8 of 4).
Founders and builderswhat to build nextCommit this year
  • Builders and attention both rising: new repos 18x, attention 6x in a year.
  • 15.3 new stars per new repo over 3 months, vs 8.50 for the typical trend: more demand per project than most fields.
  • The 12-month forecast for its share: +113% (Rising).
  • Built more than talked about: Hacker News +6% vs new repos 18x in a year, less talk per builder than the typical trend, so builders are ahead of the conversation.
  • Jev for a builder: Commit this year (2.6 of 4).
Investorswhich fields deserve research timeCommit this year
  • History: of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, 61% had a smaller share 3 to 5 years later and 8% at least doubled.
  • Jev's 2032 call: better than most similar lines (unsure), which on the base rates means about 0.78x today's share by the end of 2032.
  • Attention: 31.3% of new stars on the repos we track, 6x in a year.
  • Hacker News: 178 stories a month, +6% share in a year.
  • Jev for an investor: Commit this year (2.6 of 4).
  • Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
Developers choosing toolswhich tools to adoptCommit this year
  • Most-starred tools here lately: tt-a1i/archify (vouched), DietrichGebert/ponytail (vouched).
  • The field is emerging, so expect new tools and fast changes; pin versions.
  • Jev for a developer picking tools: Commit this year (2.7 of 4).

Repos carrying it now

tt-a1i/archifyTurn any idea, plan, or codebase into a beautiful interactive diagram. An agent skill for Claude Code, Codex, and more.+34.7k stars in 3 months · vouchedDietrichGebert/ponytailMakes your AI agent think like the laziest senior dev in the room. The best code is the code you never wrote.+31.0k stars in 3 months · vouchedaffaan-m/ECCThe agent harness performance optimization system. Skills, instincts, memory, security, and research-first development for Claude Code, Code+26.9k stars in 3 months · vouchedstablyai/orcaOrca is the place for working with a fleet of agents (e.g. Grok Bot, Claude Code). Run any coding agent with your own subscription. Availabl+24.3k stars in 3 months · vouchedpaperclipai/paperclipThe open-source app everyone uses to manage agents at work+16.5k stars in 3 months · vouchedcathrynlavery/diagram-designEditorial diagram design for Claude Code, Codex, GitHub Copilot, Cursor, Factory Droid, and Pi. 44 diagram types. Self-contained HTML + SVG.+14.2k stars in 3 months · vouched

People building it

Affaan MustafaLeading compute trading and building agent performance tools.Influence 91DietrichGebertCreating ponytail, a tool that makes AI agents write less code.Influence 77Jason YoungBuilding AI developer tools and cross-platform assistants.Influence 92Next Level BuilderAI agent skills, GoClaw platform, and enterprise tools.Influence 61Graphify LabsTurning codebases into queryable knowledge graphs for AI tools.Influence 86Julius BrusseeCreating caveman coding tools that reduce tokens.Influence 79Addy OsmaniLeading Google AI work and writing JavaScript development books.Influence 90Leon LinBuilding agent skills and tools for AI coding assistants.Influence 87

More in Coding agents

CodexEmerging50x in a year · 7.1k new repos a monthCursorEmerging10x in a year · 2.3k new repos a monthCoding agentsEmerging37x in a year · 1.2k new repos a monthVibe codingPeaking+102% in a year · 615 new repos a monthSpec-driven developmentEmerging12x in a year · 317 new repos a monthCopilotCooling+118% in a year · 274 new repos a month

Questions

Is Claude Code growing on GitHub?

Yes. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is 18x vs a year ago and +12% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Emerging.

How many new Claude Code repos are created each month?

About 12.4k new public repos a month carry the claude-code tag (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 13.0 of every 10,000 new repos.

What will Claude Code look like in 2032?

Nobody knows, and we say how much. Of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, the middle half had between 0.14x and 1.27x of their share 3 to 5 years later, and 61% ended smaller. Jev's call: Better than most similar lines.

Is Claude Code more talked about than built?

Built more than talked about. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved +6% while its share of new GitHub repos moved 18x. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: about 1/4.8 of the talk per builder of the median trend.

Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.