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Everything / Coding agents / Coding agents

Trend in Coding agents · tag coding-agent · through Sep 2026

Coding agents Emerging

On TutorHero's Everything Index, Coding agents is emerging on GitHub: 1.23 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (1.2k a month), 37x vs a year ago. The 12-month forecast says rising (+113%). By the end of 2032, lines in the same state ended between 0.01x and 2.5x of where they started (median 0.54x).

Per 10k new repos1.231.2k new repos a month
Year over year37x3 months: +44%
Next 12 months+113%80% band +80% to 7x
2032, median of history0.54x90% of past cases: 0.01x to 2.5x
Attention2.52%of new stars, +69% in a year
Jev 2032 call0.78xBetter than most similar lines
Share on X

Since 2019, and the range to 2032

0.010.030.10.3131020192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032Range to 2032 (history of similar lines)Stable Diffusion releasedChatGPT launchesGPT-4Llama 2, open weightsModel Context ProtocolDeepSeek-R1Claude Code previewHigh 3.04Jev 0.96Median 0.66Low 0.01

New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar linesJev's 2032 call

The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (more than doubled its share of new repos in a year) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.

Week by week

Last week516 new reposOct 12 to Oct 18 · +13% against the field
Last 4 weeks▼ -14%1.3k new repos, against the 4 weeks before and the field
AprMayJunJulAugSepOct

New public repos with the coding-agent tag each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers.

Built vs talked about

Hacker News69 stories a month+190% share of HN vs a year ago · titles with "coding agent"
Talk vs buildingBuilt more than talked aboutHacker News +190% vs GitHub new repos 37x over the year, compared with the typical trend

Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.

What it means

Studentslearning it, contributing, getting hiredCommit this year
  • Worth learning now: Coding agents is emerging, 37x share of new GitHub repos vs a year ago.
  • Start by reading bojieli/ai-agent-book (+8.4k stars in 3 months) and vastsa/PI-Desktop (+6.3k stars in 3 months).
  • People to follow: Open Interpreter, Bojie Li, Qwen.
  • Jev for someone who wants to contribute or get hired: Commit this year (2.8 of 4).
Founders and builderswhat to build nextCommit this year
  • Builders and attention both rising: new repos 37x, attention +69% in a year.
  • 11.7 new stars per new repo over 3 months, vs 8.50 for the typical trend: more demand per project than most fields.
  • The 12-month forecast for its share: +113% (Rising).
  • Built more than talked about: Hacker News +190% vs new repos 37x in a year, less talk per builder than the typical trend, so builders are ahead of the conversation.
  • Jev for a builder: Commit this year (2.5 of 4).
Investorswhich fields deserve research timeCommit this year
  • History: of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, 61% had a smaller share 3 to 5 years later and 8% at least doubled.
  • Jev's 2032 call: better than most similar lines (unsure), which on the base rates means about 0.78x today's share by the end of 2032.
  • Attention: 2.52% of new stars on the repos we track, +69% in a year.
  • Hacker News: 69 stories a month, +190% share in a year.
  • Jev for an investor: Commit this year (2.6 of 4).
  • Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
Developers choosing toolswhich tools to adoptTest small
  • Most-starred tools here lately: bojieli/ai-agent-book (vouched), vastsa/PI-Desktop (organic stars).
  • The field is emerging, so expect new tools and fast changes; pin versions.
  • Jev for a developer picking tools: Test small (2.5 of 4).

Repos carrying it now

bojieli/ai-agent-book《深入理解 AI Agent:设计原理与工程实践》(李博杰 著)开源主仓库:全书正文、编译版 PDF 与按章配套代码+8.4k stars in 3 months · vouched
vastsa/PI-DesktopLocal-first AI coding agent desktop: Electron + Rust host core + pi Agent Harness + user-installable plugins+6.3k stars in 3 months · organic
HarnessRouter/harnessrouterHarnessRouter Community Edition: the self-hosted, Apache-2.0 edition of the unified interface for agent harnesses. Run Codex, Claude Code, H+2.2k stars in 3 months · newhesreallyhim/awesome-claude-codeA hand-picked collection of the finest of resources for the most awesome of agents, Claude Code, the undisputed champion of coding companion+1.7k stars in 3 months · vouched
1jehuang/jcodeHigh performance coding agent harness written in Rust, built for heavy multi-agent dev workflows+1.5k stars in 3 months · organic
kajisho5/ffmpeg-skillLocal video editor for coding agents: 42 FFmpeg tools with a machine-readable contract and an MCP server, for Claude Code, Cursor and Codex.+1.5k stars in 3 months · new

People building it

More in Coding agents

Questions

Is Coding agents growing on GitHub?

Yes. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is 37x vs a year ago and +44% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Emerging.

How many new Coding agents repos are created each month?

About 1.2k new public repos a month carry the coding-agent tag (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 1.23 of every 10,000 new repos.

What will Coding agents look like in 2032?

Nobody knows, and we say how much. Of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, the middle half had between 0.14x and 1.27x of their share 3 to 5 years later, and 61% ended smaller. Jev's call: Better than most similar lines.

Is Coding agents more talked about than built?

Built more than talked about. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved +190% while its share of new GitHub repos moved 37x. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: about 1/3.5 of the talk per builder of the median trend.

Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.