THTutorHero

Everything / Coding agents

Megatrend · 7 trends inside · through Sep 2026

Coding agents Emerging

On TutorHero's Everything Index, Coding agents is emerging on GitHub: 14.9 of every 10,000 new public repos over the last three months (14.1k a month), 14x vs a year ago. The 12-month forecast says rising (+113%). By the end of 2032, lines in the same state ended between 0.01x and 2.5x of where they started (median 0.54x).

Per 10k new repos14.914.1k new repos a month
Year over year14x3 months: +12%
Next 12 months+113%80% band +80% to 7x
2032, median of history0.54x90% of past cases: 0.01x to 2.5x
Attention14.4%of new stars, +92% in a year
Jev 2032 call1.84xTop quarter of similar lines
Share on X

Since 2019, and the range to 2032

0.10.313103010020192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032Range to 2032 (history of similar lines)Stable Diffusion releasedChatGPT launchesGPT-4Llama 2, open weightsModel Context ProtocolDeepSeek-R1Claude Code previewHigh 36.8Jev 27.4Median 7.99Low 0.16

New repos per 10,000 (3-month average, log scale)12-month forecastRange to 2032: middle half and 90% of past similar linesJev's 2032 call

The range is not a forecast of this line: it is what GitHub lines in the same state (more than doubled its share of new repos in a year) did 1 to 5 years later, 2019 to 2026, applied to today's level. Past 5 years it is stretched, not measured. Checked out of time (learned before 2022, scored after), 71% of outcomes landed inside the 90% range, so read it as wide. Open it in the Everything chart.

Week by week

Last week9.2k new reposOct 12 to Oct 18 · +26% against the field
Last 4 weeks▲ +31%23.6k new repos, against the 4 weeks before and the field
Wikipedia, 7 days18.9k views+62% against the 4 weeks before, all of Wikipedia the same way
AprMayJunJulAugSepOct

Wikipedia views a day, last 8 weeks

Aug 28Sep 4Sep 11Sep 18Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 16

New public repos with its core tags each week (Monday to Sunday, UTC). The outlined bars, last week included, are still filling in, as tags are often added days after a repo is created, so their height will grow a little. "Against the field" divides the change by what the typical tag did, so a wave that lifts every tag does not count. Hover for the numbers.

Built vs talked about

Hacker News271 stories a month+1% share of HN vs a year ago · titles with "claude code", "coding agent", "vibe coding"
Wikipedia42.9k views a month-49% share of Wikipedia vs a year ago · Vibe coding
Talk vs buildingBuilt more than talked aboutHacker News +1% vs GitHub new repos 14x over the year, compared with the typical trend

Each line is its own share (of all new GitHub repos, all Hacker News stories, all English Wikipedia views, all new stars on the repos we track), shown as a share of its own peak, so the timing and shape compare even though the units differ. Hover for the counts. Tap a name to hide or show a line.

What it means

Studentslearning it, contributing, getting hiredCommit this year
  • Worth learning now: Coding agents is emerging, 14x share of new GitHub repos vs a year ago.
  • Start by reading tt-a1i/archify (+34.7k stars in 3 months) and DietrichGebert/ponytail (+31.0k stars in 3 months).
  • People to follow: VoltAgent, Jason Young, Addy Osmani.
  • Jev for someone who wants to contribute or get hired: Commit this year (2.9 of 4).
Founders and builderswhat to build nextCommit this year
  • Builders and attention both rising: new repos 14x, attention +92% in a year.
  • 6.10 new stars per new repo over 3 months, vs 8.50 for the typical trend: more supply than demand right now.
  • The 12-month forecast for its share: +113% (Rising).
  • Built more than talked about: Hacker News +1% vs new repos 14x in a year, less talk per builder than the typical trend, so builders are ahead of the conversation.
  • Jev for a builder: Commit this year (2.7 of 4).
Investorswhich fields deserve research timeCommit this year
  • History: of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, 61% had a smaller share 3 to 5 years later and 8% at least doubled.
  • Jev's 2032 call: top quarter of similar lines (unsure), which on the base rates means about 1.84x today's share by the end of 2032.
  • Attention: 14.4% of new stars on the repos we track, +92% in a year.
  • Hacker News: 271 stories a month, +1% share in a year; Wikipedia 42.9k views a month, -49%.
  • Jev for an investor: Commit this year (2.8 of 4).
  • Not investment advice: this measures what people build on GitHub, not any company.
Developers choosing toolswhich tools to adoptCommit this year
  • Most-starred tools here lately: tt-a1i/archify (vouched), DietrichGebert/ponytail (vouched).
  • The field is emerging, so expect new tools and fast changes; pin versions.
  • Jev for a developer picking tools: Commit this year (2.6 of 4).

Repos carrying it now

People building it

Trends inside

Questions

Is Coding agents growing on GitHub?

Yes. Its share of all new public GitHub repos is 14x vs a year ago and +12% over the last three months (Sep 2026). Phase: Emerging.

How many new Coding agents repos are created each month?

About 14.1k new public repos a month carry its core tags (three-month average to Sep 2026), or 14.9 of every 10,000 new repos.

What will Coding agents look like in 2032?

Nobody knows, and we say how much. Of past GitHub lines that more than doubled its share of new repos in a year, the middle half had between 0.14x and 1.27x of their share 3 to 5 years later, and 61% ended smaller. Jev's call: Top quarter of similar lines.

Is Coding agents more talked about than built?

Built more than talked about. Over the year its share of Hacker News stories moved +1% while its share of new GitHub repos moved 14x. New repos grew faster than talk for most AI trends this year, so the label compares it with the typical trend: about 1/3.8 of the talk per builder of the median trend.

Not investment advice. Measurements of what people build and star on GitHub, a statistical forecast, base rates and a model's reading of them. Nothing here is about any company's revenue, valuation or stock.